Janet McMahon: Hello. I’m Janet McMahon, the managing editor of 
			the Washington Report on Middle East Affairs. I was out at the 
			registration table trying to help sign people in when Dale started 
			speaking, so I don’t know if he told you that the Washington Report 
			would be 35 years old next month. And we have been following the 
			Israel lobby since our very first issue in 1982, so it’s a special 
			pleasure to introduce our first keynote speaker - Professor John 
			Mearsheimer. He is the R. Wendell Harrison distinguished service 
			professor of political science and the co-director of the Program on 
			International Security Policy at the University of Chicago.
			
			In March of 2006 he and Professor Stephen Walt of Harvard published 
			an article in the London Reviewer of Books entitled The Israel 
			Lobby. The article had originally been commissioned by The Atlantic 
			monthly, but that American publication decided not to publish it 
			after all. Instead it found a home overseas. The paper’s publication 
			caused an uproar in no small part because it shed light on what 
			AIPAC operative Steve Rosen described as a night flower that thrives 
			in the dark and shrivels up in the sunlight. Harvard posted the 
			paper on its website, but removed its logo. Attacks on Mearsheimer 
			and Walt range from naïve, that’s from Noam Chomsky, to - and this 
			will shock you - anti-Semites. The following year their article 
			evolved into the book The Israel Lobby and U.S. Foreign Policy which 
			has since been translated into 22 languages.
			
			Professor Mearsheimer, by the way, will be signing copies of his 
			book at 12:15 at the registration table where you signed in. I’m 
			also particularly glad that he is joining us today. Because every 
			year people ask us if he is going to be speaking at our conference, 
			so it’s been a great pleasure this year to be able to say of course 
			he is. Today he will be discussing what, if anything, has changed in 
			the decades since The Israel Lobby was published. Please join me in 
			welcoming Prof. John Mearsheimer.
			
What has changed since publication of The Israel Lobby and What The 
			New Administration Can Do Differently
			
			John Mearsheimer: Thank you for the kind introduction. It’s a great 
			pleasure to be here today to speak before this distinguished 
			audience. I would like to thank IRMEP and the Washington Report for 
			inviting me to give this talk. Of course I thank all of you for 
			coming out to hear me and the other speakers.
			
			I would like to focus my talk on what has transpired regarding the 
			Israel lobby and the U.S.-Israeli relationship in the ten years 
			since Steve Walt and I wrote The Israel Lobby and U.S. Foreign 
			Policy. My talks comprise of four parts. I’ll begin by briefly 
			restating the core arguments in our book. I’ll then describe four 
			major changes that have taken place regarding the lobby and the 
			U.S.-Israeli relationship over the past decade. I will then describe 
			what has not changed and conclude by speculating about the future.
The central argument in the book is that the United States has a 
			special relationship with Israel that has no parallel in modern 
			history and it is almost wholly due to the lobby. What makes 
			Israel’s relationship with the United States extraordinary is not 
			simply the fact that Israel has received more foreign aid than any 
			other country or that Washington almost always backs Israel 
			diplomatically. What makes it truly special is that the aid is given 
			unconditionally. In other words, Israel gets this aid even when it 
			does things that the United States opposes like building settlements 
			in the West Bank.
			
			This discussion raises the obvious question why does the United 
			States give Israel so much aid and without any conditions. Israel 
			supporters sometimes argue that it is because Israel is a vital 
			strategic asset. This is not a serious argument. In fact, giving 
			Israel nearly unconditional support is one of the reasons we have a 
			terrorism problem. Others argue that there’s a moral rationale for 
			this special relationship. Israel is said to be a democracy that 
			shares our values.
			
			The two countries certainly share some values, but Israel is a 
			Jewish state which clearly privileges its Jewish citizens. Non-Jews 
			are second class citizens in both theory and practice. The United 
			States, on the other hand, is a liberal democracy that works hard to 
			treat all of its citizens equally. It certainly is not a Christian 
			state that treats non-Christians as second class citizens. Indeed 
			that kind of discrimination, which is part of Israel’s essence, is 
			apathetical to the American way of life. Furthermore, Israel’s 
			treatment of the Palestinians in the occupied territories is sharply 
			at odds with U.S. values.
			
			Finally, there’s the claim that the American people have such a 
			favorable view of Israel that they demand their politicians back 
			this special relationship. This argument, however, is not 
			persuasive. If you look at the survey data on how the American 
			public thinks about Israel, as Grant made clear before I spoke, 
			there’s no question that Americans have a generally favorable image 
			of Israel in part because media coverage tends to be favorable. But 
			as poll after poll shows, that support is not especially deep or 
			wide. So what explains the special relationship if there is no 
			strategic or moral imperative and if most Americans do not favor it? 
			Our answer of course is the lobby. 
			
			What exactly is the lobby? Steve and I argue that it’s a loose 
			coalition of individuals and groups who actively work to influence 
			U.S. foreign policy in a pro-Israel direction. It’s not a 
			centralized organization and the groups that make up the lobby do 
			not agree on every issue. It includes organizations like AIPAC, the 
			Anti-Defamation League, the Conference of Presidents, the Zionist 
			Organization of America, and Christians United for Israel just to 
			name a few.
			
			It also includes think tanks like WINEP, and the American Enterprise 
			Institute, and publications like The Weekly Standard and Commentary. 
			It certainly is not a cabal or a conspiracy that - quote, unquote - 
			controls U.S. foreign policy but rather it’s a powerful interest 
			group like the NRA, the farm lobby, the Cuba Lobby, or the AARP. It 
			operates pretty much the same way those other interest groups too. 
			Very importantly the lobby is not synonymous with Jewish Americans. 
			Surveys suggest that about a third of American Jews do not care that 
			much about Israel. Others do not support the lobby’s positions. Some 
			groups that work on Israel’s behalf, such as the so-called Christian 
			Zionists, are not Jewish. In short, the lobby is defined by its 
			political agenda. Not by ethnicity or religion.
			
			Finally, we argue that the lobby is pushed policies that are in 
			neither Israel’s nor America’s national interest. In particular, we 
			maintain that it would have been much better for both countries if 
			the United States have long ago pressured Israel to stop building 
			settlements and allow for the creation of a viable Palestinian 
			state. But this did not happen and it will not happen because the 
			lobby makes it impossible for American leaders to use the leverage 
			at their disposal to pressure Israel. In essence, that’s the story 
			Steve and I tell.
			
			Let me now switch gears and talk about what has changed regarding 
			Israel and the lobby since the book was first published in 2007. I 
			think that there had been four noteworthy changes. First there’s 
			been a fundamental change in how Americans think and talk about 
			Israel - the special relationship and the lobby. When we initially 
			wrote our book, there was much ignorance about these subjects. My 
			sense is that most people who read our book or who have read our 
			book thought there was a large element of truth in what we said but 
			that we had, nevertheless, exaggerated the lobby’s influence.
			
			There was also a great deal of ignorance in the American body 
			politic about Israeli policies, especially toward the Palestinians, 
			and little understanding of the special relationship. This is hardly 
			surprising because one of the lobby’s main goals is to prevent an 
			open conversation in the media about Israeli policy, the 
			U.S.-Israeli relationship, and the lobby itself. It was successful 
			for a long time, but my sense from talking to many people about 
			these matters and from closely following the public discourse is 
			that those days are over. For example, it’s commonplace even in the 
			mainstream media to talk about the lobby using just that word. I 
			cannot tell you how many people have said to me that, if anything, 
			Steve and I just scratched the surface in our discussion of the 
			lobby’s power and influence.
			
			I might add that there’s now more discussion of Israel’s policies 
			and actions in the American media. If you read the comment section 
			that follow many newspaper stories, you will see that there are a 
			substantial number of Americans who are critical of Israeli behavior 
			especially towards the Palestinians. Only someone who is blind and 
			deaf would not recognize that the United States is deeply committed 
			to defending Israel’s behavior at almost every turn. In short, there 
			is much more awareness of these critical issues today than there was 
			a decade ago.
			
			What has caused this change? I think that our original article and 
			the book helped. Both attracted an enormous amount of attention. 
			Indeed the lobby book made The New York Times bestseller list and, 
			because of the Internet, the article on which the book was based was 
			widely read all over the world. But I think that ultimately our 
			arguments would not have had much impact were it not for a number of 
			other factors. First, the actions of Israel and the lobby over the 
			past decade have done much to substantiate many of the claims we 
			made in the book.
			
			Just to take one example, consider how Israel and the lobby 
			responded to the Iran nuclear deal. Prime Minister Netanyahu went to 
			extraordinary lanes to sabotage the agreement, going so far as to 
			give a speech to a joint session of Congress on March 3, 2015 that 
			not only sought to undermine the deal but was also an indirect 
			attack on President Obama. Of course he was aided by AIPAC which 
			went all out to defeat the deal. This nasty fight between Netanyahu 
			and the lobby on one hand and the Obama administration on the other 
			hand played out in full public view. 
			
			The second factor behind the increased awareness of Israeli policy 
			and the lobby is the Internet and social media. There are now all 
			sorts of places on the Internet one can go to for information about 
			these subjects. The website Mondoweiss, which I’m sure everyone in 
			this room knows about, is a case in point. It posts a steady stream 
			of stories that reveal important information about Israeli policy 
			and the lobby’s activities, not to mention critical assessments of 
			those matters. Mondoweiss, which is now 11 years old, had eight 
			million visits to its site in 2016.
			
			Of course there are other sites that provide valuable information 
			like the Electronic Intifada which is run by Ali Abunimah, and the 
			site for the Israeli magazine +972. Another important source of 
			information on the Internet is Haaretz, the liberal Israeli 
			newspaper which often runs pieces that take a critical perspective 
			on Israel as well as the lobby. And in the age of Twitter, important 
			pieces that appear on these sites are immediately spread around the 
			world to huge numbers of people. These same pieces are also 
			circulated on email lists that go to hundreds if not thousands of 
			interested readers.
			
			Third, there are hosts of organizations that are willing to 
			criticize Israel and the lobby. IRMEP is a case in point as it has 
			played an important role in exposing the lobby’s activities over 
			time. There are also a number of organizations that are deeply 
			committed to Israel which, nevertheless, are willing to take Israel 
			to task when they disapproved of its behavior. They include J 
			Street, Jewish Voice for Peace, Americans for Peace Now, and the 
			Israeli human rights group B’Tselem among others.
Finally, there are some important voices in the mainstream media who 
			have taken to speaking critically about Israeli policy and the 
			lobby. The most important person in this regard is Peter Beinart who 
			wrote a very influential article in the June 2010 issue of the New 
			York Review of Books entitled The Failure of the American Jewish 
			Establishment which is critical of the lobby for aiding and abetting 
			Israel’s misguided policies in the occupied territories. He has 
			continued to write and speak about these matters since this article 
			appeared. 
			
			Before Beinart, there was the late Tony Judt who offered searing 
			criticisms of Israel and its American defenders. Of course there are 
			a number of other key figures in the mainstream media who have 
			occasionally taken aim at both Israel and the lobby over the past 
			decade. They would include Roger Cohen, Thomas Friedman, and 
			Nicholas Kristof of The New York Times, as well as Jon Stewart of 
			Daily Show fame. In sum, I think there has been a significant change 
			in how Americans think and talk about Israel since our book 
			appeared.
			
			The second big change is that Israel’s image in the West, especially 
			in the United States, has suffered serious damage over the past 
			decade. This is due in part to the fact that information about 
			Israel is more readily available now than it was in the past, thanks 
			in good part to the Internet and social media. But it is also as a 
			result of the fact that things have been changing inside of Israel 
			in recent years. For starters, the political center of gravity in 
			Israel has been moving steadily rightward for decades and it has now 
			reached the point where government ministers occasionally make 
			racist comments about Palestinians and right legislation that is 
			directly at odds with basic liberal values. The recent legislation 
			banning individuals who support BDS from entering Israel is the 
			latest example of this phenomena. All indications are that this 
			rightward shift will continue for the foreseeable future and Israel 
			will become an increasingly illiberal country even towards its own 
			citizens. 
			
			But the key stain on Israel’s reputation is its brutal treatment of 
			the Palestinians and the fact that it has become an apartheid state. 
			Until recently Israel and its supporters were able to maintain the 
			fiction that there would eventually be a legitimate Palestinian 
			state living side by side with Israel, but it is now clear that 
			there is virtually no chance that will happen and Greater Israel is 
			here to stay. That Greater Israel, as Richard Falk and Virginia 
			Tilley make clear in an important new UN study, is already an 
			apartheid state. Israel and its defenders vehemently deny that fact, 
			but even among Israelis it’s not unusual to hear Israel described as 
			an apartheid state. For example - two former Israeli prime 
			ministers, Ehud Barak and Ehud Olmert, have said that if there is no 
			two-state solution, Israel will - to quote Olmert - face a South 
			African style of struggle. Well, there is no two-state solution.
			
			Speaking of South Africa, there are a number of individuals who were 
			well acquainted with the situation in that racist state before it 
			collapsed who believe that the situation in Israel is worse. John 
			Dugard, the eminent South African law professor, says that the 
			crimes against the Palestinians are – to quote him – infinitely 
			worse than those committed by the apartheid regime in South Africa. 
			End of quote. He is hardly the lone voice in that regard.
			
			For anyone who doubts how bad life can be for the Palestinians 
			living under Israeli control, one only has to consider what happened 
			in Israel’s three major assaults against Gaza over the past decade – 
			Operation Cast Lead, Operation Pillar of Defense, and Operation 
			Protective Edge.
			
			Because of time constraints, I will focus exclusively on the first 
			of those operations – Cast Lead – which took place in the weeks 
			before President Obama was inaugurated in 2009. Israeli forces 
			killed about 1,400 Palestinians of whom roughly 1,200 were 
			civilians; 350 of those civilians were children. In contrast, 13 
			Israelis were killed. The ratio of Palestinians to Israelis killed 
			in that operation is 108:1. That’s not a war in my lexicon. That’s a 
			massacre. I might add that 6,300 Palestinian homes were destroyed 
			contributing to the 600,000 tons of rubble that littered Gaza when 
			the shooting ended.
			
			The UN commissioned an investigation in the wake of that conflict 
			which was headed by the distinguished South African jurist Richard 
			Goldstone. The final report concluded that Israel had engaged in, 
			quote, a deliberately disproportionate attack designed to punish, 
			humiliate and terrorize a civilian population. End of quote. It went 
			on to accuse Israel of committing war crimes and possible crimes 
			against humanity. There are other signs of serious trouble in 
			Israel. Especially worrisome are the racist attitudes among large 
			segments of Jewish Israeli youth. Given these attitudes, it is 
			hardly surprising that a year ago today a young Israeli soldier shot 
			and killed or wounded a defenseless Palestinian.
			
			Equally unsurprising, there was a huge outcry in Israel when he was 
			indicted and later convicted of the reduced charge of manslaughter. 
			Press reports from Israel make it clear that many Israelis thought 
			his behavior was justified and, in fact, it was hardly an isolated 
			incident. He simply had the misfortune of getting caught on film. 
			The fact that the shooting was captured on film virtually guaranteed 
			that it would go viral on social media and further damage Israel’s 
			image. The bottom line is that the days when Israel was seen as a 
			morally upright David taking on an evil Goliath are over. The damage 
			to Israel’s reputation probably started in 1982 when it invaded 
			Lebanon, but has accelerated at a marked pace over the past decade.
			
			
			The third big change involves changes within the American Jewish 
			community. One of the most important developments in recent years is 
			a shift in the balance of power between the mainstream organizations 
			and the lobby that reflexively support Israel policies towards the 
			Palestinians and a more progressive set of organizations that are 
			determined to find a way to make peace between the two sides. The 
			divide between those groups has long been present, but the balance 
			of power between them has always been lopsided in favor of the 
			organizations that support Israel no matter what it does.
			
			That situation, however, has begun to change especially with the 
			rise of J Street which was created in November 2007 as a home for 
			individuals with progressive views on Israel. It not only has a high 
			profile, but it also is willing to criticize Israeli policies in the 
			occupied territories and actually take on the hardline organizations 
			in the lobby. J Street is surely not as powerful as an organization 
			like AIPAC, but the mere fact that it has survived and is thriving 
			shows that times are changing. After all a similar organization 
			called Barrera [phonetic] was established in 1973, but the mainline 
			forces in the lobby quickly crushed it. Not only has J Street 
			survived, but there is good reason to think that it will grow in 
			strength over time as increasing numbers of American Jews look to 
			join institutions that challenge Israel’s oppressive policies 
			towards the Palestinians.
			
			In addition to these changes in the Jewish establishment, there are 
			changes taking place in the broader American Jewish community that 
			do not bode well for either the lobby or Israel. In particular, it 
			seems clear that younger Jews are not as committed to Israel as 
			their parents and grandparents. For example, a Pew survey from 2013 
			found that among Jews who are 65 years or older, 53 percent say that 
			caring about Israel is essential to being what Jewish means to me. 
			That’s 65 years or older, 53 percent. In contrast, 32 percent of 
			American Jews under the age of 30 held a similar view. That is a gap 
			of 21 percentage points. It seems likely that support for Israel in 
			the American Jewish community, which has been weakening over the 
			past decade, will weaken even more in the years ahead as 
			generational change continues.
			
			Lastly, there’s been an important change in Israel support within 
			the United States. For purposes of background, it’s important to 
			reemphasize that public support for Israel in the United States has 
			never been particularly strong. One way that the lobby deals with 
			this thin support is to have significant influence both inside the 
			Democratic and Republican parties. In essence the lobby has worked 
			hard to make sure that Israel enjoys strong bipartisan support and 
			is not strongly backed in one of the major parties but not the 
			other. The lobby was successful in this regard for a long time, but 
			that bipartisan support has begun to erode over the past decade as 
			support for Israel inside the Democratic Party has plummeted. At the 
			same time, it has grown substantially inside the Republican Party.
			
			In a Pew poll from this past January, only 33 percent of democrats 
			said they sympathize more with the Israelis than the Palestinians 
			while 74 percent of Republicans said they sympathize more with 
			Israel than the Palestinians. This is a gap of 41 percentage points. 
			In short, there has been a marked erosion in support for Israel 
			within the Democratic Party in recent years which raises serious 
			questions as to whether the lobby will be able to maintain 
			bipartisan support for the special relationship in the years ahead.
			
			Let me switch gears again and now focus on what has not changed over 
			the past decade. Three things have not changed. First, the lobby is 
			as powerful as ever. One might be tempted to see the lobby’s defeat 
			on the Iran nuclear issue as evidence that its power is waning, but 
			that would be a mistake. The lobby does not win every time and it is 
			most likely to lose when it is pushing the United States to do 
			something that might get it into a war. The Iran deal fits squarely 
			in that category. Its failure to make a deal with Tehran would have 
			sharply increase the chances that the United States would have 
			attacked Iran’s nuclear facilities.
Where the lobby almost always wins is on matters relating to the 
			Palestinians and financial support for Israel. The fact that the 
			Obama administration could do virtually nothing to get Israel to 
			move toward a two-state solution yet still opted to provide Israel 
			with $38 billion in aid over the next decade is clear evidence that 
			the lobby remains very powerful. It’s important to understand that 
			the key to the lobby’s success is that it focuses mainly on 
			influencing high level policymakers and opinion makers, as well as 
			the elites in both political parties. Not the rank and file.
			
			I noted earlier that there has been a significant decrease in 
			support for Israel within the Democratic Party. The reason that that 
			change has had little effect on policy is that the elites in the 
			Democratic Party remain deeply committed to the special 
			relationship. They fear the lobby will target them if there is any 
			evidence they are wavering in their support for Israel. One might 
			think that politicians who are supposed to place the American 
			national interest above the interest of all other countries would 
			stand up to the lobby when it pushes policies that they know are not 
			good for the United States. Former Secretary of Defense Robert Gates 
			explains why this does not happen: I saw most of Congress as 
			uncivil, incompetent to fill in their basic constitution 
			responsibility, micro-managerial, parochial, hypocritical, 
			egotistical thin-skinned – here are the key words – and prone to put 
			self and reelection before country.
			
			The second big non-change is that U.S. policy toward Israel remains 
			the same as it has been for the past decade. The special 
			relationship, in other words, is firmly intact. Of course this 
			continuity is hardly surprising given that there has been no 
			diminishment in the power of the lobby. As many of you probably 
			remember, there was a brief moment during the recent presidential 
			election where it looked like candidate Trump might favor a more 
			evenhanded approach to dealing with Israel and the Palestinians. But 
			he quickly reversed field and made it clear that he would go to 
			great lengths to be even more pro-Israel than President Obama. 
			Naturally Hillary Clinton made the same pledge. Thus, there is no 
			good reason to think that American policy toward Israel is going to 
			change in a meaningful way any time soon.
			
			Finally, there is hardly any sustained criticism of Israel in the 
			American foreign policy establishment. This, too, is unsurprising 
			since the lobby is as powerful as ever. As I emphasized, it focuses 
			most of its attention on keeping the country’s elites in line. 
			Anyone who wants to be a serious player in the making of U.S. 
			foreign policy understands full well that if he or she criticizes 
			Israel, there will be a price to pay. The result is that there is no 
			serious debate about Israel or the special relationship in Congress, 
			the mainstream media, or prominent think tanks like the Council on 
			Foreign Relations. This is not to deny, however, that there is an 
			open and vigorous discussion of Israel and its relationship with the 
			United States outside of these establishment and institutions.
Let me conclude by talking about where we go from here. I believe 
			dark times are ahead for both Israel and the lobby. There is no 
			reason to think Israel is going to move toward a two-state solution. 
			Greater Israel is here to stay, and that state is and will remain an 
			apartheid state. That brute fact will become increasingly clear to 
			people all over the world especially now that it’s clear the 
			Palestinians are not going to get a state of their own. Moreover, 
			the Palestinians who already comprise almost half of the population 
			of Greater Israel will continue to resist their oppression which 
			will force Israel to escalate the repressive policies that have 
			already badly tarnished its image.
			
			The Palestinians most potent weapon in this fight will be BDS, which 
			is a global movement that aims to generate significant economic and 
			political pressure on Israel that will ultimately force it to give 
			the Palestinians equal rights. Israel and its supporters in the West 
			view BDS as an existential threat because it not only has the 
			potential to delegitimize Israel, but it might ultimately lead to 
			Israel’s undoing. After all the Palestinians, if they were given 
			equal rights, Israel would cease to be a Jewish state as there 
			eventually will be more Palestinians than Jews inside of Greater 
			Israel.
			
			There are good reasons to think that BDS might succeed, at least 
			when it comes to delegitimizing Israel. First, it takes dead aim at 
			apartheid which is a morally repugnant political system that is 
			universally condemned. Apartheid South Africa eventually 
			disappeared. Why should Israel be any different? Second, the call to 
			give the Palestinians equal rights is fully consistent with basic 
			Western values. It’s a demand that will surely resonate in Western 
			Europe and the United States causing all sorts of problems for 
			Israel and its supporters. Of course Israel and its supporters are 
			counting on the lobby to stymie BDS.
			
			Over time, however, that will become an increasingly difficult task 
			simply because there is no good defense for apartheid which is a 
			reprehensible political system. Nevertheless, the lobby is 
			extraordinarily powerful and it would go to enormous lengths to 
			protect Israel at every turn. It’s difficult to say where this 
			conflict will lead in the decades ahead. Many Israelis will surely 
			be interested in expelling the Palestinians from Greater Israel if 
			they have the opportunity; thereby, eliminating the need for 
			apartheid. But that outcome is unlikely because there are now more 
			than six million Palestinians living within Greater Israel’s borders 
			and they would surely put a fierce resistance if Israel tried to 
			expel them from their homes.
			
			Moreover massive ethnic cleansing would be an enormous and 
			everlasting stain on Israel’s reputation. It’s more likely that 
			Israel will simply remain an apartheid state and, with the help of 
			the lobby, just hunker down and accept the fact that most of the 
			world considers it a pariah state. Finally, there is the possibility 
			that BDS will carry the day and Greater Israel will become a 
			legitimate liberal democracy. If that were to happen, which is not 
			likely, it would undoubtedly come after much bloodshed as most 
			Israeli Jews would fervently oppose this outcome since it would mean 
			the end of the Zionist dream.
			
			Again it’s hard to say which one of these outcomes will carry the 
			day. It will probably take another 20 or 30 years before we 
			understand how this conflict will ultimately be resolved or maybe 
			not resolved. Regardless of the outcome, I’m deeply sad to say that 
			the decades ahead promise abundant trouble for Israel and especially 
			for the Palestinians. The United States will not be spared either 
			simply because the lobby will be working overtime to protect Israel 
			and preserve the special relationship which is likely to harm 
			America’s intellectual life, as well as its politics. Thank you.
			
			Question and Answer Portion
			
			Janet McMahon: Thank you very much, Dr. Mearsheimer. We have several 
			questions. I want to start with one of my own. When you talk about 
			the deteriorating image in the United States, do you think that’s 
			because people think it’s because Israel has a right-wing government 
			and if it didn’t have a right-wing government these things wouldn’t 
			be happening?
			
			John Mearsheimer: Well, I think at a very general level the 
			deteriorating image is due to two factors. One is exposure because 
			of alternative media. Number 2, because of what’s happening inside 
			Israel. I think that in part what’s happening inside Israel is that 
			the politicians who now are beginning to dominate the discord that’s 
			there are unattractive from a liberal American point of view. Since 
			the vast majority of American Jews are liberal, they’re deeply 
			bothered by what these politicians are saying. But I think that’s 
			not the key. I think the key is that it’s becoming increasingly 
			apparent that Israel is an apartheid state and that Israel’s 
			treatment of the Palestinians is simply unacceptable to large 
			numbers of people. My argument is that as time goes by that will be 
			more and more the case. 
			
			Janet McMahon: So now we’ll get to some questions from the audience. 
			Here are two related ones, I think. Your 2006 book largely 
			attributed the U.S. decision to invade Iraq to the Israel lobby. But 
			many of the neoconservative policymakers involved in that decision 
			were not particularly loyal to Israel, including Donald Rumsfeld. 
			What was the evidence that the lobby was the primary cause? Another 
			question. To what extent would you say that the Israel lobby was 
			responsible for the attacks on various Middle East countries, such 
			as Iraq?
			
			John Mearsheimer: With regard to the Iraq War, our basic argument 
			was that of course George Bush and Vice President Cheney had to be 
			in favor of the war for it to happen and that neither one of them is 
			part of the Israel lobby. Our argument in the book, and of course in 
			the article as well, is that the lobby was deeply interested in 
			getting Iraq and taking Saddam Hussein down for a long time before 
			the actual invasion on March 19, 2003. The lobby, and here we’re 
			talking especially about the neoconservatives, is pushing very hard 
			for a war against Iraq. In the wake of what looked like a stunning 
			military victory in Afghanistan in the fall of 2001, we came to the 
			conclusion – falsely of course – that we had the magic formula for 
			taking down regimes and getting out of town quickly so that we could 
			march on to the next target. This is what the Bush doctrine was all 
			about.
			
			So what you had in 2002 and early 2003 was a situation where we 
			thought we could win a quick and easy victory in Iraq. Point number 
			1. Number 2, you had this group of neoconservatives who were deeply 
			committed to taking down Saddam Hussein, who had a huge amount of 
			influence in the media and in the Bush administration, who pushed 
			very hard. Therefore, we argued they were the main driving force. 
			But there’s no question that they alone could not have made the war 
			happen. They needed President Bush, and Vice President Cheney, and 
			Secretary of Defense Rumsfeld and they all went along because they 
			basically bought the neoconservative arguments which were of course 
			not simply couched in terms of doing something that was good for 
			Israel. Right? They bought the argument and they thought that we 
			could go in and win a quick and decisive victory.
			
			They were wrong. We jumped into a quagmire. Furthermore, they were 
			wrong in the sense that we had not won a decisive victory in 
			Afghanistan. We had won a temporary victory. And the Taliban 
			eventually came back from the dead. So we had two huge disasters on 
			our hand which still exist today - one being Afghanistan, two being 
			Iraq. Of course as a result of the Iraq War, in part Syria has 
			turned into a disaster as well.
			
			Janet McMahon: Here is a question about your professional career. 
			What has been the evolution or impact of your book in your 
			principled and outspoken views? On your career, has your university 
			been uniformly supportive of your academic freedom?
			
			John Mearsheimer: I think that there’s no question that for both 
			Steve at Harvard and for me at the University of Chicago would not 
			be punished in any significant way at either Harvard or at the 
			University of Chicago. Both universities have fully supported our 
			right to speak out on this issue and other issues. American 
			universities are actually excellent when it comes to freedom of 
			speech issues in almost all cases. Not every case, but in almost all 
			cases. We were taken care of in that regard. Larry Summers was the 
			president of Harvard at the time, and he defended Steve down the 
			line. The key officials at Chicago did the same with me. 
			
			It’s very hard to say exactly how much of an impact writing that 
			book had on our professional lives. I would note that, just in my 
			own case, I’ve written a number of other controversial pieces on 
			controversial subjects that have got me into trouble. For example, I 
			argue that with regard to the present crisis in U.S.-Russian 
			relations, that we - the United States - are principally responsible 
			for creating that crisis. The Ukraine crisis was not the result of 
			Vladimir Putin’s doing. It had to do with the fact that the West, 
			and especially the United States, were very interested in making 
			Ukraine a western bulwark on Russia’s doorstep. The Russians had 
			long made it clear that that was unacceptable.
			
			It was our policies that led to the crisis. You can agree or 
			disagree with that, but that view is a minority view. I can tell you 
			there are probably about five people in the United States who 
			believe that. So there are a lot of people who are angry at me for 
			that, right? It’s hard to tell how much of the trouble I have 
			getting speaking engagements here and there or getting put on this 
			board or that board is due to the fact that I wrote the Israel Lobby 
			or due to the fact that I have been controversial on other issues as 
			well. But I think just in general, without going into any details, 
			there are surely a number of opportunities that we were not afforded 
			because we wrote the article and the book.
			
			Janet McMahon: I think we’re out of time. I’m tempted to ask you 
			more questions, but I think we’re in a pretty tight schedule. So 
			thank you so very much.